Coffee Traders' Forum - A Discussion about Coffee Futures Trading
Coffee Traders Discussion Forum
Dear friend and friend, we follow what we call first impressions on the conditions of the Brazilian crops until the present moment. These impressions were obtained through rapid travel over the main coffee growing areas of the country in recent weeks. Understand, this is not to say that the market will fall or rise ... after all an important point will not be contemplated here: consumption.
We started our journey through Espirito Santo, covering a considerable area, which was from São Gabriel da Palha and region until Santa Maria do Jetibá.
In these areas the first impression was that the crops of Conilon are in great condition, if considered the intempéries of the last years. The expectation on the part of the producers is a strong recovery in production. However, a little attention is paid to the size of the coffee park, which has undoubtedly been reduced in recent years (areas were abandoned, are under renovation or even migrated to another crop).
In Matas de Minas, passing quickly through the areas of Reduto, Martins Soares, Manhumirim, Alto Jequitibá, Caparaó and Espera Feliz.
In these areas we could observe that the number of depleted crops is very large. There is still an above-normal number of crops being pruned in this cycle. The crops that did not produce in the previous cycle are in better condition, however they do not seem to be many.
In the South of Minas we were in the areas that surround the city of Varginha / MG among them Three Pontas, Paraguaçu, Elói Mendes and Santana da Vargem.
The scenery is practically the same as that of Matas de Minas. Crops in a very critical state, with considerable defoliation, irreversible wilting points (new crops) and mainly little development of the branches. The factor that differentiates the regions a little more is that in the South of Minas it is noticed a greater amount of crops that did not produce in the year of 2017 and that for this reason they are in very good conditions. The very few irrigated areas also show a better condition.
In São Paulo, the number of crops visited was very low, practically irrelevant.
However, in the little we saw in the region of Sao Joao da Vista the scenario remained. With very critical state of the crops.
In Cerrado Mineiro we began our visit in the region of Patos de Minas, following to Carmo do Paranaíba, Rio Paranaíba, Patrocínio and Monte Carmelo.
In this region, the rainfed areas present a very critical picture. The vegetative growth was very low and the defoliation very strong. Some crops have certainly reduced yield potential significantly. In this region the number of irrigated crops is relevant. It is striking, however, that many reservoirs