Coffee Traders' Forum - A Discussion about Coffee Futures Trading
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I found some info here:
"Coffee farm productivity in different origins"
In Vietnam, a relative newcomer to coffee production, the current average productivity
is over 40 bags of 60 kg green coffee per hectare. In Brazil, the coffee origin with the
largest farms and most mechanization, average productivity is almost 25 bags per
hectare for arabica, and over 30 bags for robusta. For individual well-managed farms,
productivity of over 80 bags per hectare can be achieved in one particular year, in both
arabica and robusta production.
Both Vietnam and Brazil have improved their agricultural yield of coffee in the last
decade. Smoothing out on/off-cycles, the annualised increase in yields has been
between 4 and 8% per year.
Turning to other producers, the reality is that average productivity of coffee farms in
most other origins is between 8 and 15 bags per hectare, much lower than tree yields
in Vietnam or Brazil.
If the productivity starts today at 4-8 and improves up to max 80 bags in best case scenario.
The 10x increase not only offset the price fall from inflation adjusted values but even exceed it.
Therefore, the inflation adjusted values tell the true story per bag, but not per hectare.