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ICO:Exports,Colombia: Rains, Sumatra:Exports

ICO: Global Coffee Exports Fall 11.4 Percent in October Year on Year

CofeeNetwork (New York) – According to the latest data from the International Coffee Organization (ICO), global coffee exports amounted to 8.8 million bags in October 2017, a fall of 11.4% compared with 9.93 million bags in October 2016.

In the twelve months ending October 2017, exports of Arabica totaled 76.23 million bags compared to 72.35 million bags last year; whereas Robusta exports amounted to 44.12 million bags compared to 45.14 million bags.

Alexis Rubinstein

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Top Meteorologist Predicts Heavy Downpours In Colombia In 2018

COFFEENETWORK (Manizales)- Colombia will continue to face higher-than-normal downpours during the country’s first rainy season in 2018 because of the cooler sea temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean, Brazilian meteorologist and climatologist Luiz Carlos Baldicero, said.

The professor of Alagoas Federal University of Brazil told attendees at the 85 coffee growers’ federation summit that there will be an excess of 80 millimetres-100 millimetres per month in the northwest and west of Colombia during the country’s first rainy season, which runs between March and May.

“We are going to have a persistence of the Nina (weather phenomenon). Today, the Nina covers 40 million km2 with negative temperatures located up to 200 meters deep,” Baldicero said.

“My prediction is that only the northern part of Colombia will have a decrease in rainfall next year,” he told representatives of coffee committees to the coffee growers federation (Fedecafe).

His predictions are bad news for coffee growers, in the world’s largest producer of high-quality Arabica beans, who were expecting a sunnier year to boost coffee next year.

If Baldicero’s predictions are correct, heavy rainfall will trim output at the north western province of Antioquia, the country’s second largest-coffee producing region, as well as Caldas, Quindio, Risaralda, Cauca, Valle del Cauca and Nariño.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology yesterday said climate models suggest the formation of a weak and short-lived La Niña, persisting until early in the southern hemisphere autumn in 2018.

For the second rainy season, in October-December 2018, Colombia is expected to have a reduction of rainfall especially in the west of the country where coffee is grown. The only area where rains will increase is the Colombian Amazons.

“As a whole, coffee-producing areas in 2018 will have an excess of rainfall,” he said.

Colombia is experiencing the second rainy season, which began in October and will last until 15 December, with some coffee provinces experiencing dark clouds as torrential rains in the past months have threatened the 2018 secondary crops where higher-than-average downpours have prevented flowering to take place, the general manager of the coffee growers’ federation Roberto Velez said.

Colombia’s second rainy season, which began in October, have “compromised”, the secondary harvest, also known as mitaca, Velez told reporters.

When asked if coffee production in the calendar year 2018 may drop below 14 million 60-kg bags, Velez said risks are high if rains continue through February.

Future predictions

In 2019, downpours will fall drastically compared to 2018 with excess of rains of 10 millimetres per month than what it usually rains.

In 2020-2022, Colombia’s coffee plantations will have a reduction of sun luminosity because the moon approaches to Ecuadorean line, he said.

In the longer term, the world is expected to face the next “very strong” El Nino weather phenomenon in 2033-2034.

Proffessor Baldicero, is one of the few exception to the 'general consensus' since the researcher argues against the existence of global warming.

What determines the climatic variations of the Earth is precisely the cyclical variation of the oceans, which represent the greater part of the mass of the planet. The Pacific occupies 33% of the mass on Earth, which causes it to exert great climatic influence on the continents connected to it.

Writing by Diana Delgado

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Coffee Exports from Sumatra Fall Nearly 58 Percent in November

CoffeeNetwork (New York) – Official Indonesia government trade data showed that coffee exports from Sumatra, the main coffee producing island in Indonesia, totaled 222,460 60-kg bags in November, down 57.27% from the same month last year. This brought cumulative exports for the first two months of the current October 2017-September 2018 coffee year to 404,483 bags, 64.77% lower than the first two months of the previous crop year.

Alexis Rubinstein