Coffee Traders' Forum - A Discussion about Coffee Futures Trading
Coffee Traders Discussion Forum
Harvested amount is independent of prices, because of 2 agronomic factors:
1. The time window to pick up a ripe cherry is very short. If farmers do not pick up the cherry between day 1 and day 10 (it depends on weather) after cherry got ripped, the fruits become overripe and leads to a undesirable flavor after processing, which ends in price discounts.
2. No matter what, farmers must pick up cherries before they fall down to the ground in order to avoid phytosanitary problems for the next crop (mainly broca levels would increase dramatically because fallen fruits feed these insects).
That's why farmers that are not expect to abandone coffee farming must pick up 100% of their crop at the right time, even though prices do not cover costs.