Coffee Traders' Forum - A Discussion about Coffee Futures Trading
Coffee Traders Discussion Forum
The first pre-requisite and early warning that something might happen will come for a forecast for a pronounced drop into a negative reading of the AAO Index. There are 11 ensemble models. I would need at least 6 out of the 11 judges in agreement for a sharp drop. Even then it is a lottery ticket. If I were to buy calls right now without this pre requisite being fulfilled I would in all likelyhood suffer time decay on options, unless the market were to rally for other reasons.